Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 7.516039 8.784025 10.173702 11.806170 13.667530 15.719838 18.149998
2026-02-08 5.144318 6.782887 8.772259 11.348068 14.575698 18.465541 23.485173
2026-02-15 3.795040 5.518776 7.790416 10.965023 15.241849 20.752842 28.330831
2026-02-22 3.136561 4.946499 7.497367 11.288064 16.696167 24.037750 34.637782
2026-03-01 2.670039 4.523537 7.293826 11.634622 18.136987 27.359057 41.225058
2026-03-08 2.152138 3.910167 6.691301 11.275154 18.464556 29.085668 45.664131
2026-03-15 1.772246 3.438371 6.217106 11.014912 18.860712 30.884645 50.289242
2026-03-22 1.612959 3.309241 6.267388 11.577291 20.565693 34.761351 58.301038
2026-03-29 1.449881 3.140937 6.219858 11.955784 21.988561 38.288352 66.011464
2026-04-05 1.262395 2.890349 5.986199 11.972038 22.787431 40.854765 72.355775
2026-04-12 1.087317 2.630783 5.695183 11.840202 23.299367 42.963610 78.074542
2026-04-19 0.923738 2.363288 5.347613 11.552896 23.490234 44.520977 82.951309
2026-04-26 0.774668 2.108885 5.009952 11.285793 23.772848 46.403164 88.792550
2026-05-03 0.630888 1.836662 4.595774 10.820282 23.651316 47.600168 93.622941
2026-05-10 0.519317 1.615532 4.252522 10.448325 23.661426 49.024979 98.962048
2026-05-17 0.468904 1.541234 4.229028 10.756847 25.065323 53.156779 109.544750
2026-05-24 0.425991 1.477046 4.217937 11.088696 26.545985 57.543757 120.905046
2026-05-31 0.355017 1.312705 3.930906 10.744253 26.547616 59.033228 126.848443
2026-06-07 0.299718 1.180077 3.699439 10.494942 26.721274 60.865099 133.566166
2026-06-14 0.282926 1.167292 3.785001 11.033716 28.711751 66.544683 148.257271
2026-06-21 0.260986 1.131329 3.800389 11.396394 30.331224 71.566539 161.941302
2026-06-28 0.230222 1.055285 3.687929 11.411970 31.137428 74.926357 172.450011
2026-07-05 0.199469 0.969613 3.530813 11.285635 31.587953 77.549296 181.595907